The initiative aligns with established frameworks under the Forum on China-Africa Cooperation (FOCAC), Cobus van Staden, a senior researcher at the South African Institute of International Affairs, told Xinhua in an interview.
“It fits into long-term cooperation mechanisms that have evolved under FOCAC, including the institutionalization of ‘green lanes’ for agricultural trade announced at the 2024 summit,” van Staden said. “It also positions China’s trade policy in distinct contrast to that of the United States.”
The zero-tariff policy, which covers 53 African countries with diplomatic ties to China, officially took effect on May 1, 2026. The move is aimed at expanding market access and deepening economic ties across the continent.
Van Staden, whose work focuses on China’s growing geopolitical and developmental role in Africa, suggested the policy could bolster confidence among African nations as they pursue economic growth and deeper integration into the global trading system.
“This could help integrate African countries more effectively into global trade, which is beneficial in the long run,” he said. “However, while it will likely increase confidence, the actual follow-through depends on local infrastructure, logistics, and industrial planning, as well as navigating China’s remaining non-tariff barriers.”
Amid rising global unilateralism and trade uncertainty, van Staden said that China’s zero-tariff treatment provides African countries with a relatively predictable trading partner, enhancing external resilience.
“It offers a stable alternative that could boost resilience in some cases,” he said.
Regarding the impact on African industries, van Staden said success would hinge on businesses’ ability to add value to raw materials and tailor products to Chinese demand and avoid direct competition with Chinese goods.
“However, meeting all these criteria simultaneously remains a significant hurdle,” he added.
Analysts suggest that while the policy supports industrialization, trade diversification, and job creation, its ultimate success will depend on how effectively African nations address structural constraints to fully leverage this improved market access. ■
